The ONS mortality report this morning showed that in the week ending February 26th (week 8) deaths registered in England and Wales were 9.2% above the five-year average (1,066 deaths higher).
However, drilling down into the data it becomes clear that perhaps all of those excess deaths this week are deaths caused by the lockdown not by the virus, primarily denial of healthcare.
Deaths in care homes were down to 12.6% below the five-year average (334 deaths) (down from 1.1% above the previous week). Deaths in hospitals were slightly above the five-year average at 5% (275 deaths).
Deaths in private homes on the other hand were still a huge 44.2% above the five-year average (1,147 excess deaths). There were 238 deaths involving COVID-19, leaving 909 non-Covid excess deaths (if we make the generous assumptions that all Covid deaths are excess). That’s nearly 80%.
As can be seen in the above graph, excess deaths at home have remained well above average all year and at a relatively constant rate – a sign they are not just misattributed Covid deaths. There have been 50,810 excess deaths at home since the pandemic began a year ago. 7,056 home deaths have been registered with COVID-19, leaving 43,754 non-Covid (assuming all Covid deaths are excess) and still rising at over 1,000 each week with little sign of falling off.
The UK has had, and still has, one of the strictest lockdowns in the world, and an NHS waiting list of millions to show for it as people have stayed away from hospital to “protect the NHS” and out of fear of catching Covid. The most immediate cost of this can be seen in non-Covid excess deaths from denial of healthcare, especially at home – over 43,000 and counting by this estimate (though some of these will be transfer deaths that would ordinarily have occurred in hospital). Lockdowners claim that this is a fraction of the death toll that would result from not imposing restrictions. But when places like Sweden and Florida don’t impose lockdowns and see fewer, not more, Covid deaths per million, it is very hard to credit that, whatever the models might say.
And if lockdowns don’t save lives, then what are we left with? Just tens of thousands of deaths caused by reckless Government interventions. That’s the real horror story of the past year.
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govt reckoned peak 1 had 2/3 covid and 1/3 non-covid deaths
I expect season 2 is the other way round
looks like its more than over in Sweden
with no masks and no lockdown
This is by date of death, presumably? If so, how long of a lag should we allow for?
That’s ONE of the horror stories. Another one is the deaths in care homes in the spring from the relocation of ill people from hospitals, a NY Governor will probably be forced to resign by doing the same. Another one is the jump in aged deaths in hospitals and care homes in January this year after the start of so-called vaccinations. There are more.
the biowarfare attack on the care homes by the NHS is unforgiveable
pay freeze until its sorted out and we have punished the guilty
https://www.amnesty.org.uk/files/2020-10/Care%20Homes%20Report.pdf
“Mass discharges from hospital into care homes of patients infected or possibly infected with COVID19 and advice that “[n]egative tests are not required prior to transfers / admissions into the care home”
Undoubtedly, the policy on returning people to care homes was a bad policy.
But remember : even that did not result in an extraordinary death toll. The average age of death remained above that of the long-term average, and was linked to the previous year’s lack of infectious disease.
Imitating the wet pants exaggerated hysteria of the lockdown advocates isn’t a bright idea. It undermines the sane view of what has been a periodic infectious event of ordinary significance.
The privations imposed politically on the aged by lockdown is a far more potent issue than the unreasoning panic around the death toll.
I agree Rick, but it’s this political, exaggerated hysteria, that the likes of Cuomo, Johnson, Macron etc. are guilty of ( I know the buck shouldn’t just stop with them ). The April deaths, particularly in care homes, were historically significant and it’s pretty obvious to most of us here, what was a factor in that.
‘Excess deaths’ – as said before : another modellers’ fiction.
Deaths are deaths and can be compared to a meaningful mean or median (which excludes 3-5 year averages; far too short to make a sensible picture).
‘Excess’ presumes a specious departure from a fictional projection – aka manipulated whimsy.
Someone here is lying. This is a graphic on the BBC website. Excess deaths, what excess deaths? There have been none since last Spring if you believe the BBC, except those caused by Covid. Obviously I don’t believe the BBC or I wouldn’t be here. But what have they done here, they’re showing deaths by all locations for one thing. But whatever it gives a totally different impression to that given by this article. Deliberately so I’d wager.
Here’s my grim prediction:
School mass testing produces a big wave of false positives
Media ramp up the fear again
Over 80s receive second jab
Increase in deaths of over 80s
Media blames schools for opening and lockdown is extended
More vaccines planned by government
So, “people have stayed away from hospital to ‘protect the NHS’”, have they? Maybe some have, but many more of us have either been told explicitly to stay away or abandoned by the NHS. I am supposedly being ‘actively monitored’ for a serious condition but haven’t seen or heard from the neurologists for eighteen months, and I have a loved one with a serious chronic mental health condition who has been forgotten and is deteriorating before my eyes. I can’t express the loathing and contempt I feel for the entire medical profession. So few doctors speak out about the situation that I assume the rest have either succumbed to the mass psychosis or are too cowardly or idle to bother.
Collect the money, accrue the pension, bask in the adulation safe in the knowledge you are untouchable would be more like it.
What if the majority of the deaths at home are transfer deaths? In that case it wouldn’t be that they were deaths of people at home too scared to go to hospital. Is there any way of finding out?