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Official: Covid Pandemic Over in Britain

by Toby Young
23 April 2021 2:20 PM

With the ONS reporting today that the number of people infected with COVID-19 in England has fallen to its lowest level since September, researchers at Oxford have said the vaccines are so effective that the UK is no longer in the midst of a pandemic. Sarah Knapton, Science Editor of the Telegraph, has more.

In the first large real-world study of the impact of vaccination on the general population, researchers found that the rollout is having a major impact on cutting both symptomatic and asymptomatic cases.

Sarah Walker, Professor of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology at Oxford and Chief Investigator on the Office for National Statistics COVID-19 Infection Survey, said that Britain had “moved from a pandemic to an endemic situation” where the virus is circulating at a low, largely controllable level in the community.

The new research, based on throat swabs from 373,402 people between December 1st last year and April 3rd, found three weeks after one dose of either the Pfizer or AstraZeneca jab, symptomatic infections fell by 74% and infections without symptoms by 57%.

By two doses, asymptomatic infections were down 70% and symptomatic by 90%.

It comes as infections continue to fall in Britain, dropping 7% in a week, despite the reopening of schools and shops. Deaths have also fallen by 26% and admissions by 19% over the last seven days.

New data from the ONS also showed that Covid was no longer the leading cause of death in March, falling behind dementia and heart disease, for the first time since October.

Worth reading in full.

Stop Press: Just 6% of beds are now taken up by Covid patients at England’s busiest NHS Trust compared to 60% at peak of second wave, an analysis of NHS data by MailOnline shows.

Tags: Declining InfectionsONSOxford University
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35 Comments
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Cristi.Neagu
Cristi.Neagu
4 years ago

Wow… very effective vaccines… Gotta ask, tho… how many people got their second dose? Cause i thought you need two doses, maybe three, for the thing to work. Not that it does work, since they’re not meant to stop transmission. So… i guess what i’m asking is: What are you people even talking about when referring vaccines?

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realarthurdent
realarthurdent
4 years ago
Reply to  Cristi.Neagu

11.19 million have had both doses. 16.49% of the population. According to OurWorldInData.

6
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Carrie Symonds
Carrie Symonds
4 years ago
Reply to  Cristi.Neagu

Boris told me he had a dose once. Some tart in his office gave it to him he said. He was vaccinated before you all but he still got ill.

4
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MikeAustin
MikeAustin
4 years ago

How about changing “Worth reading in full” to “If you really want to waste your time reading in full”

41
0
Attaboy
Attaboy
4 years ago

so glad to hear it is all over and that everything is back to normal… phew! Boy do I feel silly for thinking there was more behind this..

56
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Freecumbria
Freecumbria
4 years ago

Completely meaningless twaddle based on the parroted article above. If there is anything of interest in the study then none of that is obvious from this article.

How did they come up with the 74% and 57% etc. How did this fall compare with those not experimentally vaccinated? What was the affect in the first 3 weeks after vaccination. Is there a link to the actual study setting out the methodology and results?

37
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RickH
RickH
4 years ago

“researchers at Oxford have said the vaccines are so effective that the UK is no longer in the midst of a pandemic” Damn – I should have got ahead of the game and taken that 2020 vaccine that made the April 2020 spike decline. What do you mean … there wasn’t one? … and then there’s the detail of the Oxford study, which had to use Cts of >25 to show significant reductions in non-‘infections’. “Covid was no longer the leading cause of death in March, falling behind dementia and heart disease, for the first time since October.” That would happen if you fatten Covid data (PCR+) with other causes of mortality, wouldn’t it? It is mind blowing that anyone could make such a claim – particularly the ONS, which organisation looks now to have been truly and sadly got at – something we had divined from the way its current boss jumped on the government bandwagon with Mystic Meg predictions instead of statistical analysis. Note the lack of interest in the equal possibility of the initial introduction of vaccines being responsible for the higher than expected peak in January, with an effect on the vulnerable population. Shit ‘science’ rules… Read more »

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James Kreis
James Kreis
4 years ago
Reply to  RickH

and of course we know who funds their research at Oxford.

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realarthurdent
realarthurdent
4 years ago

The epidemic in the UK was over last June, in my opinion. What we had in the autumn and winter was predominantly a combination of other causes of death being rebranded as COVID due to the use of a fraudulent test method, and a significant number of elderly people pushed over the edge by the vaccination programme in January and February.

The excess mortality graph bears this out. Note the difference of the shape in excess deaths in the autumn and winter.

Capture.JPG
48
-1
RickH
RickH
4 years ago
Reply to  realarthurdent

I accept that the ‘vaccine-deaths’ theory is still in the realm of correlation rather than causation. But, to any neutral observer, so are witterings about the marvels of these miraculous ‘vaccines’.

The main dfference between the two theories is the massive number of reasons why the pro-vaccine argument has to be pushed by government and allies in order to cover backs.

Similarly, I agree on the inflation of the autumn rise by non-Covid disease – a massive incentive to exaggerate, as there has been from the start.

20
-1
Banjones
Banjones
4 years ago
Reply to  RickH

I distinctly remember it being said, last September, (I’m sure by the govt itself) that flu numbers were going to lumped together with ‘covid’ numbers. But unfortunately I didn’t keep the link or reference. B*gger.

0
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karenovirus
karenovirus
4 years ago
Reply to  realarthurdent

‘The epidemic was over last June’
Absolutely.
Perfectly clear at the time from the ONS weekly stats which showed 2nd week of June less people died in London than the five year average (details posted last week, can repeat if necessary).

But hey, I’m not an epidemiologist, statistician, modeller or whatever .
.

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MartBee
MartBee
4 years ago
Reply to  karenovirus

And isn’t it odd that hardly any UK citizens in the under 50’s age group have been hospitalised or died this year of apparent Covid even though they haven’t rolled up their sleeves yet? It’s almost as though they don’t need the vaccine to survive……..

I also noticed they’ve wheeled out Beckham now as some kind of inspiration/advert to get jabbed. Something about “we’re all in this together”. We can’t all be in it together because I don’t know anyone that can fly himself and family to all the corners of the globe on a private jet throughout a “global pandemic with essential travel only”.

Anyone fancy a wager on who will be the 30’s and 20’s age group’s inspirational leaders?

21
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Epi
Epi
4 years ago
Reply to  karenovirus

Nor an English scholar it’s “fewer” people not less. Signed A Pedant!

0
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Banjones
Banjones
4 years ago
Reply to  Epi

”Nor an English scholar – FULL STOP, CAPITAL ‘I’ – It’s ….” etc.
Signed A Nother Pedant

0
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A Heretic
A Heretic
4 years ago
Reply to  realarthurdent

What we had in autumn and winter was people dying because the entire population had been locked inside out of the sun since March so no immunity was built up and vitamin d levels were even lower than normal.

23
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SweetBabyCheeses
SweetBabyCheeses
4 years ago

I’m still so confused about this. We’re told all along that these gene therapies ONLY lessen the symptoms and don’t prevent infection or transmission. Fair enough. Get one one if you want.

Now I’m supposed to believe that it’s an accidental side-effect of these gene therapies that they also happen to act actual vaccines that confer immunity after all! Surely that would at least have been something they’d have known about them in advance?

How else can you pretend that they give herd immunity without this new claim though… I’m far from convinced! Going to take a lot more than this to convince me to get one.

28
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BeBopRockSteady
BeBopRockSteady
4 years ago
Reply to  SweetBabyCheeses

Seasonality being claimed for effectiveness isn’t even considered on this site. Same with masks last year when they spoke of places like Czechia.

5
0
Annie
Annie
4 years ago

Aha, the magic vaccines.
The ones that are so effective that you still have to be muzzled and isolated like a corpse that died of plague.

37
-1
MutzNutz
MutzNutz
4 years ago
Reply to  Annie

Saw this and instantly thought of you; another stuck-up sanctimonious bitch.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oMdNtn6Zagk

3
-38
Annie
Annie
4 years ago
Reply to  MutzNutz

It’s a long time sinceI received such a delicate compliment. Thank you.💐

21
0
MutzNutz
MutzNutz
4 years ago
Reply to  Annie

You are welcome Annie. It’s just such a shame that the same grace is not demonstrated elsewhere

1
-16
ebygum
ebygum
4 years ago
Reply to  MutzNutz

Dear Mr Nutz.
But these really are magic vaccines, as you know if you have no symptoms, and are perfectly healthy they can still cut your f**k all by 50%. That’s REAL MAGIC!
I would also add that like many women on this site I find myself incandescent with sanctimony quite often, especially when faced with a chauvinist know-it-all knob head.
yours,
Mrs Gum

7
0
vargas99
vargas99
4 years ago

Pandemic over = No Emergency = NO Coronavirus Emergency legislation + NO “vaccines” because they are only approved for use in an emergency. What’s the chances of TPTB coming to this conclusion? I think we all know don’t we.

28
0
BillRiceJr
BillRiceJr
4 years ago

Couldn’t one argue that the dramatic decline in cases that began around January 12 (a decline of more than 95 percent in two months in my state) was caused by …. people not getting the vaccine? I mean when this plunge began only 2 percent (if this) of my state’s population had been “fully vaccinated.” Today, it’s just 15 percent. That means 85 percent of the population has still not been vaccinated. And the people who have been vaccinated are disproportionately the elderly – the group that interacts with far fewer people on a daily basis. Said differently, probably 90 percent of the population that is “out and about” and coming into close contact with the most people have still not been vaccinated … But we are supposed to believe that the vaccine definitely explains these massive decline in COVID metrics.

19
0
Ross Hendry
Ross Hendry
4 years ago

The point is that there’s a lot of us who declined the jab. This is what is irritating the pro-“vaccine” mob in power, and big pharma.

Thus no effort in bending statistics is spared in praising what is a filthy shot that has not gone through strict trials but was bought in under “emergency” regulations. By this dubious means they hope to persuade the hesitants.

Of course many of us were hesitant from the word go, No amount of deceitful propaganda will change that.

28
0
Flying Saucer
Flying Saucer
4 years ago

The drop in the fake “cases” relates entirely to the change in the cycle threshold used for the PCR test which WHO changed immediately after the Deep State puppet Biden entered the White House. This is a scam perpetrated by Big Pharma and the criminal financiers. It has nothing to do with vaccines, which are ineffective, as admitted by the WHO.

21
-1
MechEng
MechEng
4 years ago

I’ll try and attach my homemade graphs for England which are probably wrong so don’t trust them. Adjusted cases are derived based on number of tests and % positive and I’ve tried to match my resultant prevalence and cumulative cases (from my adjusted cases) to ONS prevalence and antibody results. Shape of my adjusted cases seems surprisingly good match to hospitalisations and deaths, but actual values (adjusted cases) and peak prevalence seem rather high having tried to match to ONS data? R also calculated from my adjusted cases. I had to make up vaccine data between 8th December and 11th January as the UK gov data only seemed to start on 11th January?

Looking at lower graph and R (orange line) and vaccines 1st doses (purple) or my approximate attempt at a vaccine induced immunity (yellow line); R drops shortly after vaccines start, but even when R drops below 1, 1st doses are only a small% of population, I find it hard to believe such a slight increase in immunity, from vaccines made R drop so much. R stays low, then increases in March. Seems more likely it was mainly something else, not vaccines caused cases to drop?

England01.jpg
6
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marebobowl
marebobowl
4 years ago

Why is seasonality never mentioned?

4
0
marebobowl
marebobowl
4 years ago

And the CDC’s VAERS just keeps rising. Deaths and adverse events way up. Keep drinking the koolaid folks. You will need a top up each season and god only knows what else. But just do as your told and everything will be fine. It is called blind faith.

2
0
JohnK
JohnK
4 years ago

Spot the circular argument!

0
0
Carrie Symonds
Carrie Symonds
4 years ago

Stop moaning will you all. It is upseting my lovely Boris and he won’t look at wall paper patterns.

4
0
sskinner
sskinner
4 years ago

Why did Boris get the vaccine when he has had SARS-CoV-2 and do vaccines work back in time because this virus faded away last Spring at the same rate is this Spring?

3
0
maggy mcgeown
maggy mcgeown
4 years ago
Reply to  sskinner

Did he actually get SARS-CoV-2?

0
0
Banjones
Banjones
4 years ago

”…. beds taken up by covid patients….” In other words, as we all know, this means the poor souls who’ve had something shoved up their nose when they were admitted, or had the misfortune to be infected by the hospital itself.

2
0

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