The following is a guest post from Lockdown Sceptics’ in-house doctor, formerly a senior medic in the NHS.
In early November, Patrick Vallance and Chris Whitty were summoned before the House of Commons Science and Technology Committee and questioned about their presentation of data to justify a second lockdown. Following their appearance, the government was obliged to ‘correct’ a number of misleading graphics which portrayed the situation as being far more serious than it actually was. The Government was officially criticised by the U.K. statistics watchdog for the misleading presentation.
After last night’s Downing Street press conference I expect Greg Clark, the Committee Chair, will be scheduling a repeat appointment.
Professor Whitty’s presentation was a blatant example of data selection. At the risk of image overload, I will run through a few points he made and quite a few more that he somehow overlooked. This is by no means a comprehensive critique – to be frank, I don’t have time and I doubt the readers have the patience to go through all the egregious errors and data manipulation that went on last night. We will have to leave that to the Science and Technology Committee.
Let’s start with hospital admissions. The official slides measure admissions per 100K population. Here it is, showing an alarming rise in admissions in the North West of England in Graph One.
But Graph Two puts that ‘alarming rise in admissions’ into context – it’s so tiny one can’t actually see it. This is a classic statistical trick – altering the ‘y axis’ scale to imply a greater increase and altering the ‘x axis’ only to show the bit of data that supports the hypothesis and deliberately to exclude data points that refute it. For some reason, the following contextual graphic didn’t make it into the briefing pack.
Next, the Prime Minister said that “the doubling of patients being hospitalised is very concerning for the Government”. It isn’t clear to me where he got the information that the number of patients being hospitalised has doubled – I can’t find it anywhere. I wonder whether number 10 might find Chart One useful. It shows the number of COVID patients in hospital vs the total NHS inpatient load. At present, less than 1% of inpatients in NHS beds are occupied by patients who’ve tested positive for COVID-19. In fact, there are 1079 patients and 1257 hospitals – we literally have more hospitals than patients.
Of course, stating the number of admissions to hospital can also give the wrong impression if it isn’t balanced against the number of discharges. The NHS does not release discharge information very often, but we do have it up to the beginning of June – admissions and discharges are compared in Graph Three (blue for admissions, yellow for discharges). Clearly, admissions and discharges are pretty much in balance at the end of May and beginning of June. Earlier in the series, discharges exceeded admissions, despite the warnings of catastrophe from SAGE about the re-opening of pubs and schools.
What this graph means is that the total inpatient load on the NHS is virtually static at about 1% of capacity – patients are going out as fast as they are coming in. So, where’s the problem?
Professor Whitty did show a slide illustrating the percentage change in the age profile of patients admitted to hospital. Here it is in Graph Four. It shows the effectiveness of the vaccine in keeping older people out of hospital. But it implies that there are larger numbers of younger people being admitted instead.
But when we look at the absolute numbers, we see the data presented in Graph Five. It shows the overall absolute numbers admitted now as a tiny fraction of those in January. Another classic statistical trick.
Of course, how seriously ill the patients are makes a big difference to outcome. Graph Six shows the number of COVID patients in ICU up to June 10th. There has been a tiny increase in the number of ICU cases in the last two weeks – arguably statistically insignificant, but we are well below the numbers from six weeks ago. I wonder why Professor Whitty forgot to mention this?
Much was made of the possibility of the situation with the Delta variant getting out of control and there being an ‘exponential rise’ in cases – I think I’ve heard that before somewhere. So, Graph Seven compares what actually happened (the lower blue line), with what the modellers from Imperial, Warwick and others predicted would happen in April and May. Look at the vertical axis – the predicted numbers of patients by the various modellers were out by factors ranging from Eight times to 50 times. The closest prediction still said we would have twice as many inpatients at the beginning of June than we actually have. Given this astonishingly inaccurate performance, why does Professor Whitty continue to have confidence in the modellers? And why does the Government continue to believe him?
And at the risk of boring the readers with official documentation, I came across a briefing note dated June 3rd 2020 from SPI-M-O, one of the acronym salad committees advising the Government.
Point 26 is interesting:
Analysis based on CO-CIN data indicated that as of 1st May, 30% of positive tests in hospital were linked to hospital acquired infection, including those in up to the fourth generation of transmission following discharge. Since then, as the number of cases in hospital have decreased, the proportion of infections that are hospital associated has increased, and was approximately 80% as of the 1st June. These estimates are preliminary and dependent on modelling assumptions used. SPI-M-O consensus statement June 3rd 2020.
To be frank, I’m still not quite sure if that can be true – do they really mean that 80% of the hospital inpatient load acquired Covid while in hospital for other reasons? Regular readers will recall I have frequently drawn attention to the (officially denied) high incidence of nosocomial infections, but I have never seen an estimate as high as 80% before. I think someone in authority needs to examine that statement and the raw data behind it very carefully and explain it to the public. It’s such a shocking number.
Next, we look at deaths. Here is my favourite Nightingale graphic, courtesy of Professor Carl Heneghan’s team at the Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine. The purple line shows overall deaths in England and Wales being below the five-year average up until the end of May.
Of course, there is clearly a lag between infections, hospitalisations and deaths, so Graph Eight shows the overall Covid mortality. Can you see the worrying rise in Covid-related deaths in the last two weeks? No? Well, I can’t see it either – because it isn’t there.
The statistical tricks and data selection on display last night should be obvious to a junior medical student. They cannot be an accident or oversight. What really bothers me is just how blatant and amateurish this trickery is. It implies the Government is aware the deception will be seen through in an instant by anyone familiar with the whole picture – but doesn’t care.
The WHO still recommends that lockdowns or other societal restrictions are used as an intervention of last resort – when there is literally no other option left to prevent health services from being overwhelmed. There were occasions in the last 12 months where a reasonable case could be made to support short lockdowns. We are quite clearly not in that position at the moment.
My concern about the current situation is not just the manipulation of health data for political reasons (although that is certainly worrying), but that societal restrictions are now being viewed as a normal tool for the Government and ‘our NHS’ to use whenever they see fit – these are lockdowns of convenience, not of necessity. If the British public does not wake up and stop this behaviour, then it will continue ad infinitum.
I end with a fairly lengthy quote from Michael Gove talking in 2003 about identity cards in a Newsnight discussion:
It’s not the case that the state can demand of me certain things, those who exercise power, exercise power at my, your and David’s pleasure. Ultimately the important thing to recognise is that we as free citizens devolve power upwards – we don’t operate at the licence or leisure or pleasure of those who happen to govern us at any given point… I just have an a priori preference for limiting the powers of the state at any given time, because the general rule over the whole of human history is that once powers are yielded to the state at moments of crisis or emergency it is never the case… that the state hands them back.
I couldn’t put it any better than that.
Stop Press: A reader has helpfully put together a data table showing the total number of tests, the number of positive test results, the percentage of positives, the number of patients in hospital who’ve tested positive and the total weekly deaths. As you can see, the latter two numbers are fairly flat.
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Good work nailing what are, in fact, ‘lies’. Part of a long string.
“What really bothers me is just how blatant and amateurish this trickery is.”
What bothers me is how such flagrant distortion is swallowed by a massively gullible, brainwashed public.
Most members of the public are not critical thinkers, and still unthinkingly trust the BBC. I wish I could find the link now, but in the Mail there was one SAGE guy quoted as saying despite the the ramped up vaccination and no end of lockdown restrictions hundreds a day would still die. This is a clear hostage to fortune, and perhaps it might bring out into the daylight how ridiculous some of the models have been. But at this stage though I believe it’s more about collecting contemporaneous evidence for future trials.
I doubt that there will be any reckoning.
Think ‘Iraq’.
Enquiry date confirmed by…BJ; enquiry lead appointed by….BJ; terms of reference decided by…BJ; panel of independent ( non SAGE/NERVTAG et al ) experts confirmed as “not practical” by…BJ; requirement to subpoena witnesses to attend and give evidence on oath denied by ….BJ; evidence given by witnesses can be given in camera and not included in final report confirmed as part of enquiry remit by …BJ; access to communications and meeting minutes and related documents from government ministers, officials and SPADS to be requested via Cabinet Office who will decide what can be released – confirmed as part of enquiry remit by…BJ.
Cannot see it ever happening meaningfully unless BJ plans to resign and go back to being a hack.
Set up an independent enquiry chaired by Jonathan Sumption – don’t fully follow his politics but a more forensic and motivated individual will be hard to find – and compare the two…??
Sadly, I agree with all of your points 🙁
You’re all still thinking as if you live in a democracy & that somehow, things will return to normal.
They’re absolutely not going to return to normal. Why would they? Huge efforts have been made to get us here.
I don’t understand why anyone could even think salvation is coming.
Would someone be willing to offer a rationale for this return to normality?
I’m so sure this isn’t going to happen that I’m actively planning to emigrate in weeks, before the borders are hermetically sealed, as surely they soon will be.
See the quarantine hotels at LHR. They are indistinguishable from a prison. They have no purpose except to normalise the idea of detaining people behind wire & under guards as an appropriate measure. Obviously that’s not appropriate.
Take back your freedoms. If you don’t, in due course I’m absolutely sure that the clear direction of travel will culminate in universal vaccination & detention for those who resist or argue.
Mike
I agree with you. We haven’t had a true democracy in this country for a very long time, as it has been continuously chipped away at without most people noticing (or caring, probably). I really don’t think we are going to come out of this and if we do, it will be after a lot of trauma and probably bloodshed. I am convinced now that we have been plunged, unknowingly, into world war three, which will be even more difficult to win than the previous two. At least with 1 & 2 the people could identify the enemy and hadn’t been psychologically neutralised. The vast majority of the population this time don’t seem to realise their own government is the enemy.
Thank you, Mike, for your perseverance in the face of this oppression.
What options do we have for emigration?Which country has no restrictions?
Mike, appreciate your thoughts but I became an anarchist in the proper meaning a long time ago. I met politicians in the 1980’s who were only in the HoC for their own gain as they openly admitted (and one was a very senior figure in the Tory party); nothing I have personally experienced or witnessed since has altered my view. I was the victim of two GMC registered individuals who deliberately lied for corporate pecuniary advantage; I provided the proof – 100% damning and incontrovertible- and still they were not struck off by their GMC chums. My MP is a well known “debunker” of LS and other sceptics who “fully supports” the way the government has handled the “pandemic” – he is a terrible example of a nakedly ambitious individual trampling over people for his own personal aggrandisement. I have come to the conclusion a long time ago that political parties, and “career ” politicians, are anachronistic, cannot cope with the digital/social media age, and not for for purpose. Blair and Iraq, the dodgy dossier, Dr David Kelly, blood transfusion scandal, PO Horizon scandal and collusion , NHS treatment of whistleblowers, Blair’s letters of comfort, BBC naked bias, BBC corruption… Read more »
“fit” for….
I think you’ve got your timing right Dr Yeadon. I was speaking to my hairdresser yesterday and he told me that an NHS client of his had told him that they were preparing for a spike at the end of August.
Yes, whilst we argue amongst ourselves over the detail of impositions a powerful global elite of corpoate feudal fascists are busy getting on with changing humanity to work in their favour.
Mike, I honestly dont think there will be anywhere on this planet to escape the insanity of current and future events.
The new normal will be all about tougher restrictions, more surveillance, less free speech, total authority, single global currency, single global government. Covid is just softening us up for a bigger dehumanising event to enable the bumpy ride of a $2.3 Quadrillion finacial debt reset and the coincidentle aims of eugenicists.
Brainwash Back Better.
What bothers me is that close to 100 percent of journalists working in the mainstream press all think alike on COVID topics. This example of groupthink been called “pack journalism.” Nobody who thinks differently is allowed in the pack. This truism explains why so much of “conventional wisdom” is completely wrong, or at least dubious.
I don’t believe that they are “thinking” any more – they are all so ‘on message’ that I believe they have all been given the same script and are sticking to it – otherwise how could supposedly intelligent people spout that rubbish night after night and stay sane
Not gullable or ‘ brainwashed’ just ignorant of graphs and charts, unlike a second year maths student
All they need to do is look closely for a few seconds- no particular skill is required- but we all know they won’t do this.
They are all embued with the “If it bleeds, it leads” principle of journalism and scientifically illiterate to boot
It is possible some do not understand the graphs and charts. If so, they should be asking questions, probing. That’s what journalists are supposed to do.
It’s more worrying that those who do understand the charts do not question them.
They probably do not want to commit professional suicide by going against the grain, a stance that several professionals in all walks of life have adopted.
Sadly, by taking that stance, they are failing in their professional responsibilities anyway. Abject failures.
By not announcing these first in Parliament, he may escape the charge of ‘Misleading Parliament’, a grievous charge. He shouldn’t do though. The full report should be sent to the Speaker. I’ve sent the link and some graphs from this article to my MP, asking him why he’s supporting these ‘damn lies’.
They lie all the time. They all lie. Hancock, Johnson, Whitty, Vallance, Michie, the BBC, the Guardian, Gates, Schwab – they are inveterate, serial, innate liars. They lie from the moment they wake up to when they lie down to sleep. They dream in lies. They lie on television, in front of the whole world. They lie in newspapers, on social media, in committee meetings, at conferences. They lie with PowerPoint, Excel and Zoom. They know no other coin but deceit. They lie brazenly in the full knowledge that the world (some of it, at least) knows they lie. And still they lie.
so what… whos going to stop them? They are obviously getting away with it for now… obviously there are loopholes else this wouldnt be happening
And they lie when they are not lying. The biggest lies are the facts they don’t report or the stories they don’t write … but could and should.
What a beautiful phrase… ‘They know no other coin but deceit’.
Wasn’t there a quote about the big lie? The ‘little man’ is apparently impressed by the sheer audacity of it. Came from a chap called Goebbels, I believe.
“Blatant Exercise in Biased Data Selection”. When a senior (he’s very intelligent and experienced) doctor (they take an oath to do no harm) , who is the Chief Medical Officer (whose job it is to advise on protecting health), engages in “Biased Data Selection” to a nationwide audience, and the data selection is being used to continue unprecedented restrictions on life, I think that is called a LIE. He must know exactly what he is doing. What we can’t know for sure is who is pulling whose strings.
Surely this rates as “Misconduct in public office”?
And it’s not the first time – far from it.
Either he does this willingly, because he is enjoying his moment in the sun and doesn’t want it to stop, or perhaps for financial reasons, which might be outright bribes or more subtle benefits related to commercial interests.
The only other explanation I can think of is that he has been threatened with physical harm, or is compromised in a way which leaves him the victim of blackmail.
Would he do it to please his political masters, for a seat in the House of Lords? Possibly, but unlikely I would have thought.
It is truly extraordinary.
It would be good if TY could get his friends in MSM to follow this up. Andrew Neill would be a good start.
I’m presuming here, but Whitty is clearly autistic in my opinion, ‘clever’ but with no social skills or any idea about the world other than the one he has forged for himself.
Not autistic. Most autistic people tend to tell the truth regardless of the consequences to themselves or others. Unlike Whitty.
Depends. If lying benefits them they do, but it’s usually easy to spot. Body language is more obvious. Unlike psychopaths lying is not a natural thing to autistic people.
I don’t watch so no idea which camp this vermin sits in. Neither do I care, a crime is a crime regardless as to your mental status.
He’s a psychopath, allowed to indulge his sickness by a weak and corrupt government. One that apparently is considering making him a Knight of the Realm!
Well he would be in good company there. Sir Jimmy Savile. Sir Philip Green.
“The only other explanation I can think of is that he has been threatened with physical harm, or is compromised in a way which leaves him the victim of blackmail.”
Perhaps Boris has threatened to release the Darius Guppy on him – “nothing serious, just a couple of cracked ribs”.
” The only other explanation I can think of is that he has been threatened with physical harm, or is compromised in a way which leaves him the victim of blackmail.”
Katie Hopkins made a short clip ( and it was also commented on the Daily Expose that the witless thing ” has never been married, has no children and I doubt it has ever had sex……”
I’ll betcha its on first name terms with the Harlot Harridan, that Patch Hewitt witch and knew Ghislane Maxwell and the late Epstein…………………
If Whitty is still registered with the GMC or HCPC etc , he can be referred to that body for gross professional misconduct; he has put his name, at times over the last 15 months, to highly dubious information a significant proportion of which has been shown to be unequivocally wrong. Therefore his actions and those of the other very senior medics who have participated in this charade are beyond questionable. If none of them resigned on principal as a result of knowingly participating in press updates with which they were unhappy or disagreed, we, the people, are entitled to conclude they participated willingly in the lies, misinformation, distortions et al. Light that blue touch paper…
Correct, but like every institution in our now dead nation, the GMC has failed.
Mike, I know – see post above – I have no faith in these quangos en bloc. I wish you happy emigrating but please keep on keeping on for all our sakes. I cannot reveal whoI am, that would be end of career.
Why do you assume he’s not doing it because he’s a willing participant? Vallance, Whitty, Ferguson & Farrar at least are full participants in this monstrous deceit. Two of them at least (Ferguson & Farrar) and possibly all of them are involved at global level, because SAGE modellers provide forecasting to numerous countries who’ve subcontracted this activity. I think they’re always known where this is going. I think few in government do. People like Blair, Hunt & probably Boris, certainly Gove. A mistake I made early on was to see media as subject to censorship by others. I now see them for what they are: active participants. Some of the senior journalists & editors are probably in on it. My surmise is that they think they’ve been tasked with helping to save the world from climate change. They’re useful idiots, because the steps to do this undemocratically are identical to the steps preparatory to accomplishing the goal of saving earth from the depredations of humanity, but culling several billions of us. That’s what this is about. A number of decisions already made have definitely cost tens of thousands of people’s lives. They are not playing around. Think of how powerful… Read more »
You are right on the money Mike.The World Economic Forum, United Nations together with the governments of the English speaking world are complicit in this current shitshow! It has been planned for years, at least since 2010. The Rockerfeller Foundation document “Senarios for the Future of Technology and International Development,” predicts this and has been hiding in plain sight since May 2010. It makes very worrying reading.
I quote the sub heading from the first of “The Scenario Narratives.” Below.
“LOCK STEP
A world of tighter top-down government control and more authoritarian leadership, with limited innovation and growing citizen pushback.”
An excellent article – this should front page news for any news media outlet worthy of the name. The pretence that current Government policy has anything to do with public health is laughable.
GB News UK? If we are to believe the hype
Thank you Toby, sent to my MP
Mine too, but as a newbie MP whose previous work experience was as a BBC ‘journalist’ and a SPAD to our Foreign Secretary I don’t hold out any hope that it will make a difference to him. I just do it to wind him up. In these days you have to get your pleasures where you can!
IMHO, that person’s work experience is the major reason why we have the politicians we do – most of them ignorant, career motivated, with very little real world experience and/or not highly qualified in an scientific, commercial, military or academic field to provide the intellectual rigour needed to stop BJ and his cohort from peddling their rubbish to a supine – in the main – electorate
Excellent article.
I seem to recall David Owen commenting on dealing with the Serbs at peace talks during the Balkan Wars.
Something like: They lie to your face. You know they are lying to you and they know you know they are lying to you but they still go on and carry on lying.
I saw parts of the show and found Vallence lacking in confidence as an expert witness, BJ not even really bothered anymore in the pretense of feigned distress for the proles and Whitty woodenly reading froma script hoping it won’t come back to haunt him.
Will our largely innumerate and unscientically minded fellow citizens grasp the concept?
At an instinctive level, I think more are now waking up and an excellent article like this deserves widespread dissemination throughout the land.
Reminder of another lie ….
“biased data selection” = LYING!!!
AGAIN!!!
how can that go unpunished???
We’ve extended the restrictions for this ….
The comes from the Zoe project, so I’ll give that credence (disclaimer: assuming The Guardian has reported accurately, which may not be a good assumption). Tim Spector says “Covid is … acting differently now, it’s more like a bad cold”. So, doing what all viruses, especially new ones, tend to do: mutate to be move infective and less lethal.
As ZOE is a self reporting tool, there is no certainty how robust the information is. People who tick they ‘don’t feel quite right’ or whatever the terminology is used, are asked a description of the symptoms they may be / are experiencing at that time.
Currently – and at this time every year – hay fever is very much apparent, so people will write those symptoms down. They are asked – or advised – if they have had or should go get an infamous test.
These symptoms then appear to go under the umbrella of Covid.
There will be several people who are genuine and wish to help the project, inputting daily or regular information but similarly, there will be some who are up to mischief…and lie.
NO NOT A COLD!
AAAAARRRRRGGGGHHHH!
yes – shut down the entire world – immediately. Can’t take any risks. Have to be completely safe at all times.
Fairly common symptoms of hay-fever… Quite virulent at this time of year.
You’ve fallen for it too.
The IFR is extremely close to seasonal influenza (per Dr John Ioaniddes).
There’s such a steep age/risk profile that for the entire working age population it’s LESS of a risk than seasonal influenza.
So, basically Hay Fever. I have suffered with this all my life but last year it was hilarious to see people jumping out of my way because I had sore eyes and a tendency to sneeze or cough. I have to take my mask off too…
Hear! Hear! Excellent presentation that shows how statistics can and are used to promote false narratives. I hope this author continues to make contributions to this site.
I noted with interest this comment:
“The statistical tricks and data selection on display last night should be obvious to a junior medical student. They cannot be an accident or oversight. What really bothers me is just how blatant and amateurish this trickery is. It implies the Government is aware the deception will be seen through in an instant by anyone familiar with the whole picture – but doesn’t care.
My comment: It also shows these elites know that no members of the “watchdog press” will call them out on their deceptions. Both officials and their agents in the press are in league together.
This piece of truth is a tough pill to swallow. And does not bode well for our future.
It seems you’ve only taken the purple pill. Only the black pill will set you free I’m afraid.
This is undoubtedly an international conspiracy with tyranny and genocide as the end goals.
I’ve personally communicated with dozens of scientists on twatter about this now and that is their conclusion too.
Seriously, THANK YOU.
I’ve been at this for almost a year & have become ever more convinced of this, too.
I’m going to try to get to the USA. Their government is also captured but they have:
-functioning local government (states) & courts (separation of powers per the constitution)
-lots of religious people who are able to recognise evil (we secular folk refuse to)
-a burning desire not to give up their freedoms & might be willing to die in service of them.
I cannot do more in U.K. dominated by blue pilled people.
Correct.
I reluctantly reached the same conclusion.
All institutions have failed.
The nation is a corpse
The borders will soon be hermetically sealed & the trash (the population) mostly swept away.
Go on, give me an alternative future scenario that better fits ALL the observations.
From the final table, note how hospitalizations and deaths all peaked the week of January 18, 2020. And “cases” peaked on January 4th and then began a rapid decline. This was BEFORE even a tiny percentage of the British population had been “fully vaccinated.”
I believe this was caused by vaccination.
Lies, dam lies and Chris Whitty!
He’s an intelligent man and can’t be misusing statistics in such away unless with intent.
He does not have to have “intent” surely; he “he put his name to it” by presenting the “slides”. Let him try, as a GMC registered medic and having signed the Hippocratic oath, to argue that “presenting information I did not prepare” does not mean I am wholly in agreement with it – an untenable position, morally at the very very least.
Was just watching the Sky CPR training segment. Someone in the comments said current guidance is to not do chest compressions as you may vent covid into the air. I hope that’s not the advice, I know we are trying to kill as many as possible but my faith in humanity can’t take much more, especially from the medical ‘profession’.
I think 60%, or even 80% of people who receive CPR die anyway.
Excellent piece of work. It was so blatent that I spotted much of it in real time, even though witless was speeding through it. This alone should be a prison sentence for malfeasance in public office. No wonder he looked so nervous.
In their arrogance the lie is so big they don’t even bother to hide it..
They have become brazen. They do know they can get away with anything.
They have the police to come round and beat you up if you become too objectionable. Oh, and Blackwater’s assassins. Put an axe under your bed!
As Joseph Goebbels put it so presciently:
“If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”
but sadly a lot of very gullible people will have swallowed it whole without question – and worse – will act on it by queuing up for their emergency use vaccine
but sadly a lot of very gullible people will have swallowed it whole without question – and worse – will act on it by queuing up for their emergency use vaccine because they have been misled by this
It’s so obviously bullshit (sorry, I didnt have the patience to read the whole article), the only important question is, why are they doing it?
They have bought an awful lot of vaccines which need to be used up before the “emergency” is lifted. Once it is lifted the licence for these vaccines expires. They can jab quite a lot of arms in four weeks.
That’s far too trusting. It’s about holding and maintaining absolute power.
They chucked away a vast amount of anti-flu stuff on the trial run a few years ago.
e.g. Tamiflu dry run in 2005 for birdflu over the cuckoo’s nest.
They probably chucked out a fair bit more last year as well, when they extended the recommended age group, rather late in the year. It hasn’t got a long ‘shelf life’, and it looks like having being a waste, but they’ll keep quiet about it.
So what good is it if only a select few people here on this site know this? Why dont the people who can actually make a difference know these statistical secrets?
Because “our betters” despite being able to make clever puns in ancient Greek or Latin, are essentially innumerate and scientifically-illiterate.
Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine: Slight increase in blood clot risk.
https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/oxford-astrazeneca-vaccine-slight-increase-in-blood-clot-risk
“This study cohort consisted mostly of older adults and people with existing conditions, so further research is necessary to understand the risks for a younger population.”
i.e. younger people have a VASTLY lower risk from COVID. But they seem to have a similar or raised risk from the jab!
If lying in this way is the common law offence of misconduct in public office, then the maximum sentence upon conviction is life imprisonment. https://www.cps.gov.uk/legal-guidance/misconduct-public-office
The CPS guidance states: The elements of the offence are summarised in Attorney General’s Reference No 3 of 2003 [2004] EWCA Crim 868.
The offence is committed when:
so what has happened to Michael Bernician’s private criminal prosecution??? if ever more evidence were needed for it we have had it in the last week alone
If the 80% figure is correct then the current “crisis” is caused almost single-handedly by the NHS.
The issue is that once they finally admit that nosocomial infection is as bad as it is…then I can only see it as things getting worse for everyone not better?
I am against pretty much all the things that the hospitals have done so far. But it will only mean more of the same? Asymptomatic testing, masks, isolation, no visitors, gel slime, no face to face appointments, DNRs, paramedics in biohazard suits, no dentists, no cancer treatment.
It will just get to the point where you have to buy into all of this before they will treat you.
Of course almost all cases were nosocomial. They were with SARS & MERS too
Virtually no one highly symptomatic would have been wandering around outside in Feb, Mar & Apr 2020, because they’d have been unwell.
And we’ve a good radar for others illnesses when they might be a health threat to us.
This is why general lockdown hasn’t worked anywhere.
That alone tells us that transmission in the ambulatory community was always a low fraction of cases.
Are you the real Mike Yeadon? That would make my day.
Either way, I am the real Sweet Baby Cheeses, praise be, I speak the truth.
Yes and yes.
Has anyone noticed the really BIG FRAUD in graph 1, they used the american date format to trick people and make them think, without a careful reading, that it referred to Jan 4th when admissions were genuinely relatively high (not so high as some bad flu seasons, not high enough to ever justify lockdowns, but still high enough to make things stressful for hospital staff). In reality it refers to 1st April. For the government to make such a bizarre and deceptive choice of date format when plotting that graph would tend to imply there is malicious intent and while this whole coronapanic amy well have been a cockup initially such deception indicates it is now being used very deliberately.
I was about to comment on this but you had beaten me to it. May I say I feel you are being extremely generous by saying ‘would tend to imply’.
It’s fraud. Blatant and sinister.
Well spotted. They do the same in graph 7.
Often lurk, rarely comment. Earlier today the Telegraph website had a front page splash by Henry Bodkin explaining how shonky the graphs last night were. I tried to show it to the missus just now, and it had gone! Eventually found it in the politics section, not even a reference to it on the front page now! I find this deeply sinister. Were they lent on?
Still there if you hunt for it, but definitely squirrelled away.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/06/15/fear-freedom-doom-laded-government-graphs-dont-show-us/
2243 comments on that Telegraph article now!
Great analysis, well done
I do not even want to think about it where this magic money comes from to pay just for tests.
A friend was at Peterborough show ground last week, next to it a testing station. No-one there except staff, and in the evening she counted 20 mobile testing units. All need staff, equipment, foil lettering, diesel, insurance etc.
Replicate this around the country, the sums are just unbelievable.
I went to a ‘test centre’ to ask for advice on how to get a test elsewhere, as for getting a negative test result for travelling – the generous NHS just tell you to piss off if you want a test so you can travel, and the NHS test results, despite showing ‘negative’ may not be used for travel – either they mean nothing, or it’s so the private testing companies at the airports don’t miss out on more victims. I chatted with the three guys at the gate (for an hour) who warmed up to me – they told me the whole thing was a load of bollocks and there wasn’t even any Covid, and that the testing was a scam. And then they pointed to the pile of cones that weren’t being used and asked me to guess how much they cost – it was something like 57p per cone per day – all rented from a private company. The NHS test centres look like concentration camps – perhaps to get you used to the idea that these are the kind of places you’re going to end up in if you don’t toe the line and brainwash yourself.… Read more »
When returning to the UK one has to compulsory buy a days 2 & 8 test set.
Yet one can also additionally buy a day 5 early release test.
Hmmm, why can’t they use the day 8 test for the day 5 early release test instead? Same bullshit PCR tests.
Someone’s till is going ker-fuckin’-ching whilst our pockets are going what-where-who-the-fuck!
A finance person recently pointed out that the 2008 GFC might have been engineered or at least exploited to create the conditions where we accept massive money printing, which has been necessary to finance lockdowns.
Had this casual acceptance not been in place, lockdowns simply couldn’t be done, as it’d have triggered a sterling crisis in short order.
This introduces an interesting evolution of economic thought, could taxes be used in place of interest rates to manage inflation. The benefits are that the money goes back to Government rather than middle class savers to be spent on climate change. This allows the perpetual printing of money, the introduction of UBI, the control of inflation, the subservience if the middle class.
They already play with it to some extent, such as via the excise duty on fuel oil (which they have frozen for a while). It affects the consumer price index (CPI) a bit. Remember, we also pay tax on top of duty, so adjusting the VAT rate is another tactic.
Another graph was presented in the media tonight, which suggested that the UK had the higgest incidence of cases in Europe (thanks of course to the varriant formerly known as Indian).
The bar chart was tagged with the number 107 against the UK, with all other countries with smaller bars and numbers below. Of course, previous figures for cases have all been weighted per 100,000. It was only by reading the explanation below provided by the newpaper that you realise that the figure was 107 cases per MILLION.
In effect, the country continues to be lockrd down because 10 in every 100,000 might have a cold.
This chicanery is used to push dodgy stocks- I’ve seen it many times over the years. You just have to find a bit of the chart that looks impressive in isolation and hey presto- you have a winner! Send it to enough people with a message like Get in now before it’s too late- this COULD double/triple, etc. Could being the magic word of course, probably won’t and in fact this is actually just a correction in a huge downtrend and we’re desperate to move all this junk stock never seems to make it into print. It’s bad enough when this happens and it does get clamped down on generally, but for our elected leaders to use such tactics is truly sickening. That they know they’ll get away with it is beyond anything I can put into words.
Excellent presentation of the facts, and I would suggest LS forwards this article to every MP! As a point of minor interest, I imagine the ‘David’ referred to by Mickael Gove in the 2003 Newsnight interview was Mr Blunkett, who now counts himself among the more lockdown sceptical politicians. How times change! But also, perhaps a reflection that the real issue is how power affects how people think, rather than whether this is all about a leftist agenda?
Good point. Power corrupts.
I’m more curious about the other David and that tune he was humming.
Mathematics Help Online
Misleading graphs
http://passyworldofmathematics.com/misleading-graphs/
Basically, this is what the ‘Wolf of Wall Street’ did.
Thank you Doc. We all know the lies are taking over like weeds. I plan on copying this piece to hand to folk around me who think their govt is ‘doing a really good job’. Truth needs to spread to stop the weeds in their tracks.
Excellent excellent article thank you very much for explaining this to a non-statistical mind. I always know when there’s a rat you can smell it a mile away by their shifty eyes and they never quite seem to believe in what they are talking about. I went to enough sales pitches at work to sort out the wheat from the chaff. And this was definitely the latter. All this however has got absolutely nothing to do with a tiny tiny tiny bug that may or may not exist. And all to do with control by fear. Vaccine passports are nothing to do with medical status it’s just another way of prying and keeping us under control. We are being manipulated for depopulation and “climate change” purposes. Never thought I hear myself saying things like this but as Mike Yeadon said recently this is not a conspiracy theory as it is not a theory and it is a conspiracy. Sorry if I mis-quoted you Mike but you get the drift.